193. Letter From the President’s Special Assistant (Stassen) to the Under
Secretary of State (Herter)1
Dear Chris: Thank you for your thoughtful
letter of May 3rd2 enclosing a
copy of an evaluation of the Soviet disarmament proposals of April 26th
drawn up in the Department.3
Your estimate in the Department runs along very much the same lines as
the estimate developed here in the Delegation. It also checks quite well
with the evaluation by the other Western Delegations, although the
British are showing rather more reserve and we are not certain of the
complete motivations for their position.
I am enclosing an interim memorandum of some of our further appraisal of
the Soviet proposals. We are also developing the USDEL recommendations
to the U.S. government. I wrote to the Secretary while he was at Paris
with some suggestions for his consideration as to the procedure to be
followed.4
I have asked Lawrence Weiler, a
member of the Delegation who has been one of the State Department
personnel on our Special White House Study Group to bring this letter to
you, and copies of the memorandum to the Department. He will be
available for staff level discussions in the Interdepartmental work. He
is thoroughly familiar with all of the various bilateral and
multilateral discussions in London.5
Sincerely,
[Enclosure]
INTERIM APPRAISAL OF THE SOVIET PROPOSALS OF APRIL 26, 1957 AND OF
THE RELATED SITUATION
- 1.
- The key sentence in the Soviet paper is
the following:
[Page 502]
“The Soviet Government proposes that the governments of
the States represented in the Subcommittee of the UN Disarmament Commission
should reach an agreement on partial disarmament
measures”.
- 2.
- The primary Soviet concern for their
own future security is that the spread of nuclear weapons,
through their production by additional countries and/or through
the transfer by the U.S. and the UK, and through the consequential delivery of
nuclear weapons to China and some of the Eastern European force
by the USSR, is likely to
result, from either careless, irresponsible, or headstrong
action, by some state other than the U.S. and the USSR, in the triggering of
hostilities which would then involve the U.S. and the USSR in a nuclear war; and this
would occur under circumstances in which the U.S. would have a
posture that would result in the substantial destruction of the
Soviet Union.
- 3.
- It is the Soviet estimate of the U.S.
position that the U.S. is also concerned about the fourth
country spread of nuclear weapons production, but that the U.S.
does not put as much weight on the spread through nuclear
weapons transfer, does not realize the countering pressures for
Soviet delivery to Warsaw states and China, and that the U.S.
does have some concern over a future potential of surprise
attack upon the U.S.
- 4.
- The Soviet Union is prepared to reach
an agreement for partial measures which would serve the mutual
interest against fourth country spread of nuclear weapons
production, which would decrease the other stated dangers to
Soviet security, and which would reciprocally decrease the
stated grounds for concern for U.S. security.
- 5.
- This is the basic reason for the extensive offer to open up
Siberia, in delayed response to the original Eisenhower proposal at
Geneva.
- 6.
- If these Soviet objectives can be served in some degree, all
portions of the Soviet position in the April 26th paper are
negotiable in some degree, but the Soviet will bargain hard to
get the maximum advance on their security objectives and to pay
as small a price as possible for U.S. and free world security
objectives.
- 7.
- The Soviet is uncertain and uneasy about the effect which a
partial agreement would have on their regime within the USSR and their relations with the
Satellites.
- 8.
- The specific wording of the Soviet proposal need not be given
undue attention if the objectives in paragraph two above are
served, but the amount of movement that the Soviet will make on
their total position is limited and the amount they will move on
some of their points is quite narrow.
- 9.
- There will be almost as great difficulty in fitting together
provisions for a partial agreement satisfactory to France, the
Federal Republic of Germany and the UK, as there will be for the USSR.
Note: Important factual correction of
Department memorandum, paragraph III (f). The Soviet proposal does
include 28,000 square miles of Soviet territory in the European zone
of aerial inspection.